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APPLIED ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH


Volume 43, No. 01, Month JANUARY, Year 2021, Pages 1 - 13


Change in rainfall patterns in the hilly region of uttarakhand due to the impact of climate change

Dilip Kumar, Rajib K. Bhattacharjya


Abstract Download PDF

Uttarakhand, a Himalayan state of India, may experience an increase in temperature of 1.4°C to 5.8°C by 2100 due to global warming. The rise in temperature may melt the glaciers of the state and may have some significant impact on the rainfall. In this study, we have quantified the changes in the rainfall of the state. Also, an attempt has been made to evaluate the impact of climate change on rainfall. The future rainfall can be estimated by using a global circulation model (GCM). However, due to the very coarse spatial resolution of the different GCM, we cannot use them directly. For matching this spatial inequality between the GCM output and historical precipitation data, we used the statistical downscaling technique. In the present study, we have examined the suitability of the artificial neural network with principal component analysis for downscaling the rainfall for different hilly districts of the state.Etc...


Keywords

Downscaling; Climate change; Rainfall; ANN; Scenario; PCA



APPLIED ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH


Published by : Environmental Research Institute, Chulalongkorn University
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