Study on price fluctuation and influencing factors of regional carbon emission trading in china under the background of high-quality economic development
The carbon emission trading market is an economic tool that reduces emissions
and thus affects climate change and mitigates the greenhouse effect. In this study,
the ARMA-GARCH model and Grey relational analysis are employed to explore
the characteristics of carbon price fluctuations in seven regions of China and the
possible impacts of six factors including energy prices, economic condition,
policy, industrial structure, air quality, and foreign carbon trading price. It is
concluded that the regional carbon emission trading prices in China have the
characteristics of agglomeration, peak, heavy tail, memory and anti-leverage,
which is largely influenced by energy prices, structural factors, policy and
environmental factors. Moreover, there are great regional differences in the
correlation between high-quality economic development and carbon prices.